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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 25 - 48 of 188 results
Sep 25, 2025 8:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Reasonably Resilient After AM Losses
Bonds responded logically to upbeat economic reports, with 10yr yields treating 4.19% as a support level. Despite additional selling after data and a 7yr auction, the bond market remained mostly sideways with slight weakening.
Sep 25, 2025 8:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Stronger Data Hurting Bonds
Economic data, including jobless claims, durable goods, and GDP, came out stronger than expected this morning. Bonds pulled back but are still supported by the 4.19% technical level in 10-year bonds.
Sep 24, 2025 1:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Weaker Thanks to 2 Kinds of Supply
The bond market is experiencing weakness due to factors that may have decreased demand or increased supply, with this week's Treasury auction cycle contributing to the latter. The market also saw unexpected additional supply in the form of a $15 billion issuance, leading to moderate weakness overnight.
Sep 24, 2025 8:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Quieter Calendar Leaves Focus on 5yr Auction
This week's economic calendar had some activity with unscripted comments from Fed Chair Powell, other Fed speakers, and an S&P PMI report. Today's only significant monthly report is New Home Sales, which typically doesn't impact bonds much. The 5yr Treasury auction and a bond announcement from Oracle at 8am ET are likely driving some moderate weakness in the market.
Sep 23, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Modestly Stronger After No Whammies From Powell
Last week, the press conference with Fed Chair Powell was seen as more hawkish than expected, leading to a selling spree in the bond market. However, over the past 3 days, the market has mostly been sideways. Today, yields almost reached Thursday's closing levels, with the majority of the movement occurring after Powell finished a Q&A session. Traders were relieved that Powell did not reinforce th... more
Sep 23, 2025 9:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Which Powell Will We Get Today?
Fed Chair Powell will be speaking at a chamber of commerce luncheon in Providence today, providing an opportunity for markets to gain insight into his playbook through a Q&A session. Previous sessions following hawkish bias tend to see Powell pushing back toward a more balanced approach, although sometimes he continues with hawkish talk. The S&P PMI data has been underwhelming, making Powell's Q&A... more
Sep 22, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Slow Burn With Little to Blame
Bonds started the day sideways but gradually lost ground throughout. Multiple Fed speakers made comments but had no clear impact. The losses coincided with the NYSE opening, potentially impacting bond tradeflow dynamics. 10yr yields are up almost 2bps and MBS are down on the day.
Sep 19, 2025 12:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Uneventfully Sideways At Modestly Weaker Levels
Friday was a relatively uneventful day in the bond market, with opening levels similar to the previous day's weakest levels. Bonds were slightly weaker overnight but found support at opening levels, leading to some bounces throughout the day. The market may be stabilizing after two days of selling, but larger moves will still depend on economic data. Next week's light economic calendar could be ba... more
Sep 18, 2025 9:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Mortgage rates haven’t been this low in nearly a year. Thank the Fed — but not entirely
The Fear & Greed Index provides a snapshot of investor sentiment in the market, measuring whether investors are feeling fearful or greedy. It takes into account various factors such as stock price momentum, market volatility, and survey data. This index can be used as a tool to gauge the overall mood of the market and potentially make investment decisions.
Sep 16, 2025 7:29 AM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Easily Clearing Last Pre-Fed Hurdle
After a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales report, bonds initially lost ground but later reversed those losses and returned to modestly positive territory. The Treasury recovery coincided with falling yields and stock prices at NYSE open, possibly due to profit taking and asset allocation trading.
Sep 15, 2025 5:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Uneventful Rally. Retail Sales on Deck
Bonds began the week with some strength, possibly due to positioning ahead of the Fed Day. The NY Fed Manufacturing data contributed to the rally narrative, but most gains were already in place. Volumes and volatility were low. MBS and 10yr notes saw modest gains throughout the week.
Sep 12, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Incidental, Inconsequential Weakness Ahead of Fed Week
Bonds started the day weaker, but ended with yields at the same level as Monday. The market seems to be waiting for the next big event after the recent jobs report. This week provided an opportunity to book profits and adjust positions, possibly in preparation for the upcoming Fed day.
Sep 12, 2025 8:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Back in The Range After Failed Breakout Attempt
Bonds started the week at 4.07%, dropped to 4.04% by Monday, and are now at 4.06%. Not much fluctuation throughout the week, mostly staying close to 4.06%. Market technicians are noting the repeated bounces at the 4.0% floor. MBS performance is influenced by 'the roll' dynamics, with MBS appearing flat when comparing October delivery coupons to themselves.
Sep 11, 2025 3:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Very Calm Reaction But Not Too Surprising
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is being viewed as a potential market mover, but MBS and yields are relatively stable due to inflation being in line with expectations. The initial rally was influenced by both the CPI data and Jobless Claims reports. Overall, today's CPI release did not interfere with signals pertaining to potential rate cuts.
Sep 11, 2025 10:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Slightly Stronger Start Despite Slightly Higher Inflation
The CPI data was mostly in line with forecasts, but unrounded numbers showed higher core monthly CPI and monthly headline inflation. Despite this, Jobless Claims were higher than expected, indicating labor market concerns. The drop in supercore inflation may be the bigger factor influencing the bond market.
Sep 10, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Helpful Data and Treasury Auction Set High Bar For CPI
The bond market had a fairly straightforward day with positive economic data and a strong 10yr Treasury auction pushing yields lower. Despite some volatility in the PPI data, the news was good enough for bonds to push back against overnight weakness. The afternoon's 10yr auction helped bring yields to new lows for the day. MBS and 10yr yields were both down, with a strong 10yr auction prompting mo... more
Sep 10, 2025 8:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Super Cool PPI Makes For a Stronger Start
The PPI inflation report came in below forecasts, prompting some bond buying. Wholesalers reduced passing along higher costs through margins. Previous month's big surge created a low bar for current data. Average monthly PPI over past two months would still be 0.3%.
Sep 9, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Post-NFP Rally Momentum Fades
Bonds experienced a corrective bounce after several days of improvement, but it was mild. Market watchers are puzzled by bonds losing ground despite a large preliminary NFP benchmark revision that is not relevant to present market movement. Overnight weakness persisted with MBS and Treasuries experiencing some fluctuations.
Sep 8, 2025 4:23 PM
— Bond Markets
More Gains Despite Absence of New Motivation
On Monday, bonds continued their rally from the previous week despite the lack of new market moving data. Longer-term yields outperformed and the yield curve continued to correct from recent highs. Some motivation for the rally may be coming from curve traders more concerned with bond performance against each other. Overall, bonds were fairly flat overnight but started rallying during the day with... more
Sep 6, 2025 3:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Textbook Reaction With Minimal Volatility
The bond market had a positive reaction to a weaker than expected jobs report, resulting in a rally that was not extreme. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) were up .375-ish at today's highs compared to the full point of improvement seen after the last jobs report. Overall, there was a calm and refreshing lack of volatility after the initial move.
Sep 4, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Positioning For Weaker Jobs Report?
The article discusses the unpredictability of the payroll count in the jobs report and how it can lead to unexpected movements in the bond market. Despite labor market weakness, bonds rallied due to traders adjusting positions ahead of a high-risk event. The yield curve steepened earlier in the week but has since been correcting. The article concludes by emphasizing that bonds can either rally or ... more
Sep 4, 2025 7:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Mixed Data. Mixed Reaction
Thursday morning's economic data included claims, layoffs, ADP, and ISM Services. Overnight movement was more significant than during the day. ADP was slightly weaker than expected, but bond buyers didn't react strongly. ISM was slightly stronger, but weak employment and price decreases tempered the bond-bearish message. The data isn't weak enough to positively impact Friday's jobs report, but als... more
Sep 3, 2025 2:26 PM
— Bond Markets
Straightforward Data-Driven Rally
The bond market had a straightforward day with unchanged trading levels initially. Friendly Fed comments and low job openings reported by JOLTS data led to gains in bonds. The recent job report's weakness was confirmed by the JOLTS data. If Thursday's data is also weak, bond yields may challenge recent lows.
Sep 3, 2025 1:27 PM
— Bond Markets
Still in The Range as Bonds Wait For Bigger Influences
Bonds were weaker to start the month, especially after the start of European trading. There was a strong correlation between EU sovereign debt and Treasuries. Yields remained within the prevailing range, and upcoming economic data could challenge that range.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 400 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.