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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 25 - 48 of 282 results
Dec 30, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Meaningless Year-End Volatility
The bond market experienced some minor fluctuations overnight, with 10yr yields up by more than 3bps and MBS falling slightly. However, this is considered tame year-end volatility. The fluctuations occurred within the range of 4.20 to 4.10 for 10yr yields, which is not considered significant.
Dec 26, 2025 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Technically Open, But Unofficially Still a Holiday Trading Session
Despite the bond market technically being open, trading volume and liquidity are extremely low due to the late year holidays. Algorithmic trading programs are driving market making, keeping bonds in a narrow range until non-algo trades prompt a modest move. Overall, the bond market is expected to remain stagnant until the week of January 5th.
Dec 26, 2025 4:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Trump promised ‘aggressive’ housing reform next year. Here’s what to expect for home prices in 2026
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool designed to help investors gauge the market sentiment by measuring emotions and beliefs surrounding the stock market. The index ranges from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed) and is calculated based on various factors like stock price momentum, market volatility, and put/call options. It can be a helpful tool in determining when it may be a good time to buy or... more
Dec 24, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Are Open... Sort Of
Government employees have days off today and Friday, but these are not official Federal Holidays. Bond market is open on regular schedule with early close on 24th and full close on 25th. Trading remains uneventful with no reaction to Jobless Claims data. Treasury auction scheduled for 11:30am ET.
Dec 24, 2025 12:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Stunning Display of Holiday Trading Weirdness
The GDP for Q3 was released and was much stronger than expected, leading to a reaction in the bond market. However, most of the movement was likely due to the holiday and by the end of the day, Treasuries and MBS returned to unchanged levels.
Dec 23, 2025 12:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Range-Bound Cruise Control, PM Edition
Bonds started the day slightly weaker and remained mostly flat throughout the day with no significant market movers. Trading volume was at its lowest non-holiday level of the year. Overnight, bonds were modestly weaker and holding steady. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) were down slightly while 10-year bond yields were slightly up.
Dec 23, 2025 6:30 AM
— Bond Markets
GDP Reaction a Prime Example of Holiday Distortion
Despite GDP coming in higher than expected, bonds are selling off sharply. The movement in bonds is larger than expected, but the trading volume is low due to the holiday doldrums, resulting in increased volatility.
Dec 22, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Range-Bound Cruise Control
The bond market has been experiencing a very narrow range in yields over the past 4 months, with the past 3 weeks being especially narrow. While the recent micro range in 10-year yields is on the high side of the broader range, 2-year yields are hugging the lower end of their 4-month range. MBS and mortgage rates are performing somewhere in between, outperforming 10-year yields relative to the hig... more
Dec 19, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Slightly Weaker. No, It's Not Japan
The Bank of Japan's announcement did not have a significant impact on the U.S. bond market. The Ministry of Finance in Japan usually has a greater impact on the U.S. bond market. USD/Yen and Treasury yields were relatively unaffected by the announcement.
Dec 18, 2025 3:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Limited Follow-Through After Shockingly Big Miss
Despite core CPI coming in lower than expected at 2.6% vs 3.0% year over year, the reaction from traders was not as significant as anticipated. The miss was so unexpected that traders thought there were issues with the data collection for November. However, there was still a moderate extension of the overnight rally.
Dec 18, 2025 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Big Drop in Annual CPI, But Only a Cautious Rally So Far
Core annual inflation came in lower than expected at 2.6%, leading to a moderate rally in the bond market. This reading is the lowest of the cycle and could potentially signal a break from the stagnant elevated levels seen previously.
Dec 17, 2025 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Slightly More Focus Than Normal on Thursday's CPI
The article discusses how Wednesday was an uneventful trading day with bonds staying within the recent range. Thursday may be different due to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which could impact the market. Recent Fed speeches have reintroduced inflation concerns as a reason for caution with rate cuts. Overall, the article mentions that the CPI data will be the last potential source ... more
Dec 16, 2025 8:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Frustratingly Flat After Deceptively Friendly Jobs Report
Despite a slight uptick in the unemployment rate and higher payroll count, the bond market remains flat as the Federal Reserve continues to confirm modest weakness in the labor market. The unclear impact of the government shutdown and lower response rates for the household survey are also noted.
Dec 15, 2025 12:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Fairly Calm Monday. Jobs Report on Deck
Monday's trading day ended with modest overnight gains eroding to roughly unchanged levels by the 3pm close. Tuesday brings the first post-shutdown jobs report, with a focus likely shifting to the unemployment rate. The jobs report is expected to heavily impact the market, depending on how much it differs from forecasts.
Dec 15, 2025 6:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Welcoming Back Timelier BLS Data
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is releasing important economic reports to the bond market this week, including the Employment Situation (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI). This data, along with October's retail sales data, could impact the market through the 2nd week of January. Depending on the results, there could be either a range breakout or a retreat in yields.
Dec 13, 2025 4:31 AM
— Bond Markets
Choose Your Own Market Movement Adventure.
There is a noticeable divergence between long and short term bonds since the Fed announcement. Shorter-term yields are being kept low due to the Fed rate cut outlook, while longer-term yields are increasing. Traders are concerned that the labor market may not be deteriorating fast enough to warrant the rate cut.
Dec 11, 2025 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Two-Way Trading But Not Much Day-Over-Day Movement
Bonds started the day strong but weakened after the NYSE open, ending the day relatively unchanged. The day did not witness any significant events, with December 16th expected to be the only other notable trading day of the year. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and 10-year yields fluctuated throughout the day.
Dec 11, 2025 8:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Follow-Through Rally. What's Up With Big Swings in Jobless Claims?
Bonds are experiencing moderate gains following jobless claims data, but the late Thanksgiving holiday has caused issues with seasonal adjustments. Last week's initial claims were distorted due to Thanksgiving, resulting in a big jump this week. Continued claims are also impacted, with non-adjusted claims at the highest levels in years.
Dec 10, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
What to Watch in Today's Dot Plot
Bonds were initially weaker but have regained strength after morning economic indicators. The focus is on the Fed's announcement, with the expectation of a rate cut. Concerns arise from a possible pause in rate cuts due to more hawkish sentiments, leading to bond market weakness.
Dec 10, 2025 2:30 AM
— Bond Markets
There's no guarantee the Fed's rate cuts will lower the rates that matter
Bond yields are rising as the Fed cuts rates, which is a puzzling inconsistency. Factors such as shifts in trade policy and the prospects of an ever-widening national debt are keeping yields from dropping further. Higher yields set the cost of borrowing, impacting mortgage rates and economic activity.
Dec 9, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Wednesday is All About Dot Plot and Powell
Bonds lost ground due to JOLTS data, with focus shifting to the upcoming Fed meeting. Fed Funds Futures indicate a high probability of a rate cut announcement, but attention is on the release of the dot plot and Powell's press conference. Rates have been bearish recently, indicating uncertainty in the market.
Dec 9, 2025 9:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Job Openings Data Causing Weakness in Bonds
Despite a fairly straightforward session in the bond market on Tuesday, there was a sell-off due to higher job openings data. However, the 'quits' rate falling to its lowest levels helped to cushion the impact on rates.
Dec 8, 2025 2:31 PM
— Bond Markets
Pre Fed Jitters? Not Exactly
Both stocks and bonds experienced a sell-off right after the NYSE open, which may be related to concerns about the Fed's rate cut outlook. However, Fed Funds Futures do not support this narrative. The explanation for the volatility in the market is attributed to the period between Thanksgiving and New Year's.
Dec 8, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Yields Testing Range Ceiling Ahead of Auctions, Data, And The Fed
Bonds are facing pressure at the start of the week following the worst week of selling since late October. The market may be bracing for another negative impact from the Fed, making room for Treasury auctions during a less liquid time of year, and preparing for an important JOLTS release on Tuesday morning. 10yr yields are reaching the upper boundary of the medium term range.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 600 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.