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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 49 - 72 of 188 results
Sep 3, 2025 1:27 PM
— Bond Markets
JOLTS Data Bringing The Buyers
Bonds were flat to slightly stronger overnight but rallied after the JOLTS data, which showed a new cycle low for job openings. MBS gained about an eighth of a point and 10yr yields dropped about 3 bps. Friendly Fed comments from Waller, including the possibility of rate cuts at the next meeting and multiple cuts in the future, also helped push bond prices higher.
Sep 2, 2025 1:27 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Dealing With Holiday Hangover Despite Friendly Data
EU inflation came in higher than expected, leading to bond yields in several EU countries reaching long-term highs. Speculation about the legality of tariffs could result in tariffs needing to be paid back, potentially hurting the bond market. U.S. bond market is showing some weakness with 10yr yields starting the day 7bps higher, but weaker ISM Manufacturing data is helping to offset some losses.
Aug 29, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Calm Day to End A Calm Week
The bond market remained calm on Friday despite the release of significant economic data. Slow, steady gains were observed throughout the week for unknown reasons. August followed expectations by maintaining a narrow range, avoiding a challenge to the range set by the last jobs report day. The upcoming week, although shortened due to Labor Day, is expected to bring more volatility to the bond mark... more
Aug 29, 2025 3:27 AM
— Bond Markets
Generally Exciting, But Specifically Boring
This week in the bond market has been relatively uneventful with low volatility. However, there has been a consistent downward trend in yields, with 10yr yields hitting their lowest point in a while. Mortgage rates have reflected this improvement.
Aug 25, 2025 6:25 PM
— Bond Markets
Fairly Quiet Monday Considering Last Week's Noise
After a bond rally following Friday's Jackson Hole speech, the market has mostly remained within a set range waiting for the next jobs report to potentially challenge it. There have been days of minimal movement and inside trading patterns, with some minor fluctuations in MBS and 10yr yields.
Aug 25, 2025 8:24 AM
— Bond Markets
New Week, Same Struggles
Bonds rallied after Powell's speech, but overall trading range has been consistent since August 1st job report. Waiting for next job report to potentially challenge range. This week's key event is Friday's PCE inflation which could impact Fed's decision on a September rate cut.
Aug 21, 2025 1:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Some Headwinds Ahead of Powell's Jackson Hole Speech
The week saw mixed results in market data, with inflation components indicating price pressures. Comments from Fed's Hammack and a strong 30yr TIPS auction influenced market movement. Overall, bonds drifted sideways to slightly weaker. Friday's speech from Fed Chair Powell is expected to be the week's main event for volatility potential.
Aug 21, 2025 8:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Mixed Data Making For Weaker Start
Today, economic reports related to the bond market movement were released. The results were not well received, as yields initially moved to unchanged levels but then reversed after higher inflation component in Philly Fed report and S&P PMI data added more pressure. Manufacturing PMI surged higher, and tariff-driven price increases were reported, leading to the second-largest increase in input pri... more
Aug 20, 2025 7:24 AM
— Bond Markets
FOMC Minutes: Ancient Time Capsule, Or...
The article discusses the limited impact that the FOMC Minutes may have on the bond market this week, as the Federal Reserve's transparency efforts have diminished the significance of the Minutes. It highlights that the Minutes will reflect discussions from a meeting prior to recent key economic reports, emphasizing that they may not provide new information. The main focus for potential market-mov... more
Aug 19, 2025 2:25 PM
— Bond Markets
Slow, Steady, Modest Improvement
Bonds are experiencing low activity and minimal movement, with prices and yields drifting sideways. However, there was some improvement in yields and MBS, and motivations for trading remain low. The upcoming Fed Minutes and Powell's speech at Jackson Hole are not expected to have a significant impact.
Aug 19, 2025 9:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Incidental Resilience
After experiencing weakness the day before, bond yields and MBS prices are now back in line with Friday's levels, moving lower in early trading. The market is quiet overall, with the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chair Powell being one of the few potential volatility events. Investors are waiting for the next jobs report in almost 2 weeks, and movements within a 10-year yield range of 4.2 - ... more
Aug 18, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Incidental Weakness or a New Trend?
Trading levels in the bond market today broke to slightly worse levels than last week, potentially indicating a trend toward progressively weaker levels. However, other factors like volume, time of year, and the economic calendar suggest it could just be incidental movement within a narrow range. August's trading remains within the range set by a post-jobs report rally.
Aug 18, 2025 7:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Light Calendar; Early Selling
Summertime trading conditions have led to distinct phases of selling pressure in the bond market despite moderate overnight strength. The movement today is not being driven by economic data, as the only offering on the calendar is NAHB builder confidence.
Aug 15, 2025 1:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Weaker Conclusion But No Major Big Picture Implications
Bond markets held mostly sideways until the afternoon hours when they saw a mini snowball effect that took yields to their highest levels of the week. Despite mixed reactions to economic data, little has changed since last Friday's jobs report. 10yr yields are currently up 3.5bps on the day at 4.321 while MBS are down 3 ticks (.09) on the day.
Aug 15, 2025 7:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Minimal Reaction to Decent Retail Sales Data
The Retail Sales report came in as expected, with core retail sales exceeding forecasts. This data provides cover for a potential sell-off in the bond market, but there has only been minimal weakness in response so far.
Aug 14, 2025 12:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Hold The Range Despite More Data-Driven Volatility
Today's Producer Price Index (PPI) came in at 0.9, surpassing the forecast of 0.2 and reaching the highest point since post-covid hyperinflation. This caused visible damage to bonds, with 10yr yields rising from 4.20% to closer to 4.30%. The PCE components in the PPI data indicated a less severe impact on the PCE data in 2 weeks, but concerns remain about tariffs affecting a return to the 2% infla... more
Aug 14, 2025 8:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Producer Prices Surge, Complicating The Rate Cut Outlook
The Producer Price Index came in higher than expected at 0.9%, driven by increases in trade services, machinery/equipment, portfolio management, and vegetables. This caused some weakness in bonds but not as significant as if the CPI had reported a similar beat. PPI is more volatile than CPI and suggests a smaller spike in consumer inflation.
Aug 13, 2025 7:25 AM
— Bond Markets
Follow-Through Rally as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Increase
Bonds rallied overnight due to lower EU yields, stable inflation in Germany, lower oil prices, and increased odds of a rate cut at the September meeting. Despite the improvement in yields, the bigger picture remains relatively stable in the 4.2-4.3 range as the market awaits the next jobs report.
Aug 12, 2025 2:26 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Eventually Pass on Decisive Reaction to Tuesday's Data
Bonds rallied after core CPI data was released at 8:30am, with the annual headline number showing improvement. However, there were concerns about rising inflation in categories like core services and goods, partly offset by declining housing related inflation. The market reaction was mixed, underscoring the importance of the next jobs report in determining the direction of rates.
Aug 12, 2025 6:24 AM
— Bond Markets
Mixed Reaction Thanks to Messy Internal CPI Components
The CPI data released this morning met expectations, with the monthly headline at 0.2 and the core at 0.3. Bonds are slightly stronger, but there are arguments for them to be selling off based on other factors. Despite being green on the day, bonds may see gains erode as markets process the implications.
Aug 11, 2025 1:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Mostly Steady Ahead of CPI
Treasuries slightly outperformed MBS today, with both remaining close to unchanged overall. The bond market has been mostly sideways since the last major cue from the jobs report earlier in the month. The upcoming CPI report on Tuesday is expected to be the most significant data release of the week, potentially impacting volatility. Traders are particularly interested in sorting out tariff-impacte... more
Aug 9, 2025 3:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Empty Calendar and Summertime Drift
The bond market in early August is experiencing limited movement and narrower ranges. Yields have crept up slightly after dropping last Friday. The only major technical level overhead is 4.28. Bond market momentum will be clearer after next Tuesday's CPI.
Aug 8, 2025 1:23 PM
— Bond Markets
Focus Shifts to Next Week's High Stakes CPI
Bonds lost ground at the fastest pace of the week on Friday, but overall trading helped solidify gains from the previous week's jobs report. Focus is now on the upcoming CPI report as it could impact the next big move for rates. Treasuries closed at their weakest levels with 10-year rates rising.
Aug 7, 2025 2:24 PM
— Bond Markets
Fairly Resilient Despite Bumpy Auction
Morning economic data was limited to Jobless Claims, which came in higher than expected but not enough to cause a significant rally in bonds. Despite losing ground after a 30yr bond auction, bonds did a decent job of holding their ground in the last few hours of the day.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 400 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.