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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 97 - 120 of 188 results
Jul 17, 2025 9:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Decent Start Despite Stronger Retail Sales Headline
The Retail Sales report came out stronger than expected, even when excluding certain categories like autos, gas, and building materials. This would typically pressure bonds, but revisions and lower inflation-adjusted spending helped push bond yields lower today.
Jul 16, 2025 2:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Give Free Preview of Post-Powell Momentum
Reports that Trump was considering firing Powell caused longer-term yields to rise in the bond market. Despite Trump later saying he's not considering firing Powell, traders remained skeptical and favored shorter-term debt. Overall, 10yr yields and MBS made gains during the day amidst the drama behind the scenes.
Jul 16, 2025 8:00 AM
— Bond Markets
PPI Reaction Playing Out Better Than CPI So Far
The article discusses how the reaction to PPI data was different from the reaction to CPI data the previous day. PPI being lower than expected indicated a milder impact from tariffs compared to CPI categories affected by tariffs. The PPI data showed that the worst offenders were domestic, leading to a modest rally in response.
Jul 15, 2025 2:02 PM
— Bond Markets
What's Up With The Paradoxical CPI Reaction?
Despite a smaller impact from tariffs than expected, both stocks and bonds sold off sharply at 9:30 am following the release of the top line CPI numbers. However, the weakness continued as MBS and 10yr yields fluctuated throughout the day.
Jul 15, 2025 6:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Tariffs Show Up in CPI, But Not Enough to Hurt
Tariffs did not have a significant impact on this month's inflation, as housing, medical care, and professional services were the main drivers of higher inflation. Bonds rallied initially due to CPI coming in below forecast, but the persistence of non-tariff-driven inflation caused uncertainty, resulting in a modest rally that did not push yields significantly lower.
Jul 14, 2025 2:01 PM
— Bond Markets
All Eyes on CPI
Bonds have been slightly weaker in July but have remained relatively stable since last Tuesday. There is anticipation for the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, which is expected to show tariff impacts. Depending on the results, rates may be affected, and potential volatility is to be expected.
Jul 12, 2025 7:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Overnight Selling But Still in The Range
The article discusses the announcement of a 35% tariff on Canadian imports starting August 1st, which is an increase from the previously-slated 25%. Exemptions for USMCA goods and energy/fertilizer are probable but TBD. This development is a concern for the bond market from an inflation standpoint, leading to losses in both stocks and bonds overnight.
Jul 12, 2025 7:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Bracing For CPI Impact
Stocks sold off in response to the announcement of 35% tariffs on Canada, leading to bonds drifting into weaker territory throughout the day. Market is anticipating Tuesday's CPI report to see if the tariffs have impacted the data significantly. Friday's weakness in bonds could be a result of investors waiting for the upcoming data release.
Jul 11, 2025 7:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Week's Only Relevant Data is Not Bond-Friendly
The article discusses how the weekly jobless claims data was the only relevant economic report for the week, with numbers showing no cracks in the labor market. Despite Continuing Claims remaining elevated, they stayed below long term highs from 3 weeks ago. This resulted in the bond market moving into slightly weaker territory.
Jul 10, 2025 3:01 PM
— Bond Markets
Fed Speakers and Auction Help Bonds Hold Steady
Bonds lost a small amount of ground today but are holding steady on the week. Fed speakers reiterated dovish messages, and the Treasury auction wasn't especially strong. MBS and 10yr yields saw some fluctuations throughout the day, with modest changes at the close.
Jul 9, 2025 3:03 PM
— Bond Markets
Correction to the Correction. Will it Last?
Bond traders demonstrated clear foresight by starting buying early in the week, leading to consistent buying and improvement in 10yr Treasury yields and MBS. The market saw a classic correction to June's rally followed by a correction of that correction, with events like the 10yr Treasury auction and Fed Minutes having varying impacts throughout the week.
Jul 8, 2025 2:05 PM
— Bond Markets
Correction Starting to Level Off?
Bonds managed to stop the bleeding early and push back toward unchanged levels by the end of the day, showing a potential trend reversal. Despite some selling overnight and early in the day, there was a very slight recovery with very low volatility.
Jul 8, 2025 8:06 AM
— Bond Markets
Heads: They Win. Tails: You Lose
Stocks and bonds are responding to new developments on the tariff front, with letters sent to trade partners announcing new tariff rates effective August 1st. Despite general tariff fatigue, the market was paying attention due to the formal nature of the announcements. While stocks were falling, bonds were holding steady, and vice versa.
Jul 8, 2025 4:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Slow Start; Light Calendar This Week
After a rally reversal following last week's jobs report, the bond market is facing a data-free week with little movement from last Thursday's close. Thursday saw heavy selling, potentially ending the rally trend from late June. The most anticipated event on the horizon is next week's CPI data, which will likely determine the direction of trading levels and trends.
Jul 7, 2025 2:04 PM
— Bond Markets
Correction Continues Despite Tariff Announcements
Bonds started the day weaker and continued to lose ground in the morning. After new tariff announcements caused selling in stocks, there was some initial buying in bonds, but not for long. Tariffs have proven to be a double-edged sword for bonds. Today's weakness added to a multi-day correction that began last Wednesday. Buyers may remain hesitant until more of the week's Treasury auction cycle ta... more
Jul 3, 2025 1:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Big Market Reaction but Mortgages Outperform
The strong jobs report led to bond sellers pushing the yield curve higher, especially at the short end, but MBS didn't experience as much damage. The MBS market remained relatively stable despite uncertainties about Treasury auctions and the recent spending bill.
Jul 3, 2025 7:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Jobs Report Comes in Stronger. Bonds React Logically
The jobs report for this morning showed stronger results than expected, leading to bond market weakness. The drop in unemployment also contributed to the sell-off. Despite some 'yeah buts' in the data, there was nothing significant enough to suggest lower yields. Revisions have been more aligned with the consensus, which could potentially benefit the bond market in the future.
Jul 2, 2025 2:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Circle The Wagons Ahead of High Risk NFP
The bond market is anticipating a lower NFP number despite the consensus of 110k. The ADP employment report showed a significant miss, causing initial bond market rally that was not sustained. Overall, there was minimal weakness with bonds holding steady on the eve of high-consequence data release.
Jul 2, 2025 7:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Think About Rallying on ADP Data, But Already Getting Cold Feet
The ADP employment report came out much weaker than expected, prompting a potential rally on the bond market. However, global bond markets are facing pressure from a rout in UK debt and ADP's track record in predicting NFP is hit or miss.
Jul 1, 2025 2:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Traders Buy The Dip After AM Data
Bonds started the day in line with yesterday's levels but were impacted by data releases like the JOLTS report and Senate's spending bill passage. Despite some volatility, bonds remained open-minded ahead of the upcoming jobs report and CPI release. Throughout the day, there was some back and forth movement in bond prices and yields.
Jul 1, 2025 8:00 AM
— Bond Markets
AM Data Possibly Arguing For a Bounce
Tuesday's economic data included S&P/ISM Manufacturing PMIs and Job Openings. While PMI data was slightly stronger than expected, job openings data showed a significant bounce, suggesting a leveling off after a rapid decline. This led to MBS moving back to yesterday's lows and yields near yesterday's highs.
Jun 30, 2025 3:01 PM
— Bond Markets
Steady Gains in the PM Hours
On quarter-end trading, bond buying in the afternoon resulted in yields bottoming out just before the NYSE close. Month-end buying picked up later, leading to a strong move into the close with MBS up almost a quarter point and 10yr down 4.8bps.
Jun 28, 2025 8:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Minimal Impact From PCE Data
Bonds were slightly weaker at the start of the final trading day of the week, but this was not due to the morning's PCE data. The PCE data did not cause much of a stir, despite core monthly inflation being slightly higher than forecast. Lower income and spending offset the higher inflation. Bonds improved slightly, but headlines about the Senate's push to approve its version of the spending bill h... more
Jun 28, 2025 5:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Modest Friday Bounce Does Little to Alter Bigger Picture
Bonds gave up their gains late in the day after a decent recovery, likely due to Senate moving closer to a spending bill vote and Trump declaring an end to trade negotiations with Canada, potentially implying inflation pressure. The week overall saw lower Fed Funds Rate expectations, which will be further influenced by key economic reports in the following weeks.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 400 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.