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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 145 - 168 of 244 results
Jul 23, 2025 8:01 AM — Bond Markets
Weaker Start After Japan Trade Deal
The article discusses how market movements are being analyzed without any actionable economic data this week. The announcement of a trade deal with Japan boosted stocks and hurt bonds, leading to some selling in the domestic trading session but not enough to break above this week's high yields.
Jul 22, 2025 2:00 PM — Bond Markets
Solid AM Gains Stick Around All Day
Bonds improved in the morning after comments from Bessent, who is seen as the voice of reason in defusing market frenzy over potential ouster. Additional gains came from NYSE tradeflows. Stocks sank in the morning but rebounded in the afternoon without pushing bond yields higher. MBS and 10yr bonds saw gains throughout the day, reaching their best levels by the end of the day.
Jul 22, 2025 8:01 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Approve of Bessent Comments and Stock Volatility
Stock market volatility is impacting both stock and bond markets, with earnings season increasing volume and liquidity. Positive movement in the bond market occurred after comments from Bessent regarding trade negotiations and Fed Chair Powell. Bessent's efforts seem to be helping yields move lower to decrease Treasury's interest burden.
Jul 21, 2025 3:01 PM — Bond Markets
Uneventful Resilience
The bond market showed moderate resilience on Monday, with yields lower across the board, particularly for longer-term notes. The motivation for the market movement is assumed to come from technical factors and trading in other markets. Earnings season is contributing to increased volume and volatility around 9:30am and 4pm.
Jul 21, 2025 9:00 AM — Bond Markets
Stronger Start on Another Quiet Calendar Week
This week's economic calendar is relatively quiet, with scheduled speeches from Fed members not touching on monetary policy due to the Fed's blackout period. The S&P PMI and Jobless Claims data may prompt some reactions, but overall, both stocks and bonds are making gains. Technicians are focusing on technical indicators such as support at 4.50% in 10yr yields last week and the nearness to the 100... more
Jul 19, 2025 3:01 AM — Bond Markets
Slow Green Friday
At the end of the week, the market is experiencing stability with only minor economic reports like Consumer Sentiment and residential construction numbers. Bonds were green overnight and remain positive as we head into the afternoon. Overall, the market is unchanged for the week.
Jul 18, 2025 2:01 PM — Bond Markets
Needle Threaded. Now What?
This week there were potential high-impact events such as the CPI data and Trump/Powell headlines that could have caused big moves in bonds/rates, but the actual impact varied. Ultimately, the market ended the week almost unchanged from the previous week.
Jul 17, 2025 2:01 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Unfazed by Econ Data
After the release of economic data in the morning, the bond market initially showed some selling/weakness but quickly turned to bond buying due to a downtrend in discretionary consumer spending. This led to bonds staying in positive territory for most of the day, despite a slight afternoon correction back to unchanged levels.
Jul 17, 2025 9:00 AM — Bond Markets
Decent Start Despite Stronger Retail Sales Headline
The Retail Sales report came out stronger than expected, even when excluding certain categories like autos, gas, and building materials. This would typically pressure bonds, but revisions and lower inflation-adjusted spending helped push bond yields lower today.
Jul 16, 2025 2:00 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Give Free Preview of Post-Powell Momentum
Reports that Trump was considering firing Powell caused longer-term yields to rise in the bond market. Despite Trump later saying he's not considering firing Powell, traders remained skeptical and favored shorter-term debt. Overall, 10yr yields and MBS made gains during the day amidst the drama behind the scenes.
Jul 16, 2025 8:00 AM — Bond Markets
PPI Reaction Playing Out Better Than CPI So Far
The article discusses how the reaction to PPI data was different from the reaction to CPI data the previous day. PPI being lower than expected indicated a milder impact from tariffs compared to CPI categories affected by tariffs. The PPI data showed that the worst offenders were domestic, leading to a modest rally in response.
Jul 15, 2025 2:02 PM — Bond Markets
What's Up With The Paradoxical CPI Reaction?
Despite a smaller impact from tariffs than expected, both stocks and bonds sold off sharply at 9:30 am following the release of the top line CPI numbers. However, the weakness continued as MBS and 10yr yields fluctuated throughout the day.
Jul 15, 2025 6:00 AM — Bond Markets
Tariffs Show Up in CPI, But Not Enough to Hurt
Tariffs did not have a significant impact on this month's inflation, as housing, medical care, and professional services were the main drivers of higher inflation. Bonds rallied initially due to CPI coming in below forecast, but the persistence of non-tariff-driven inflation caused uncertainty, resulting in a modest rally that did not push yields significantly lower.
Jul 14, 2025 2:01 PM — Bond Markets
All Eyes on CPI
Bonds have been slightly weaker in July but have remained relatively stable since last Tuesday. There is anticipation for the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, which is expected to show tariff impacts. Depending on the results, rates may be affected, and potential volatility is to be expected.
Jul 12, 2025 7:02 AM — Bond Markets
Overnight Selling But Still in The Range
The article discusses the announcement of a 35% tariff on Canadian imports starting August 1st, which is an increase from the previously-slated 25%. Exemptions for USMCA goods and energy/fertilizer are probable but TBD. This development is a concern for the bond market from an inflation standpoint, leading to losses in both stocks and bonds overnight.
Jul 12, 2025 7:01 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Bracing For CPI Impact
Stocks sold off in response to the announcement of 35% tariffs on Canada, leading to bonds drifting into weaker territory throughout the day. Market is anticipating Tuesday's CPI report to see if the tariffs have impacted the data significantly. Friday's weakness in bonds could be a result of investors waiting for the upcoming data release.
Jul 11, 2025 7:02 AM — Bond Markets
Week's Only Relevant Data is Not Bond-Friendly
The article discusses how the weekly jobless claims data was the only relevant economic report for the week, with numbers showing no cracks in the labor market. Despite Continuing Claims remaining elevated, they stayed below long term highs from 3 weeks ago. This resulted in the bond market moving into slightly weaker territory.
Jul 10, 2025 3:01 PM — Bond Markets
Fed Speakers and Auction Help Bonds Hold Steady
Bonds lost a small amount of ground today but are holding steady on the week. Fed speakers reiterated dovish messages, and the Treasury auction wasn't especially strong. MBS and 10yr yields saw some fluctuations throughout the day, with modest changes at the close.
Jul 9, 2025 3:03 PM — Bond Markets
Correction to the Correction. Will it Last?
Bond traders demonstrated clear foresight by starting buying early in the week, leading to consistent buying and improvement in 10yr Treasury yields and MBS. The market saw a classic correction to June's rally followed by a correction of that correction, with events like the 10yr Treasury auction and Fed Minutes having varying impacts throughout the week.
Jul 8, 2025 2:05 PM — Bond Markets
Correction Starting to Level Off?
Bonds managed to stop the bleeding early and push back toward unchanged levels by the end of the day, showing a potential trend reversal. Despite some selling overnight and early in the day, there was a very slight recovery with very low volatility.
Jul 8, 2025 8:06 AM — Bond Markets
Heads: They Win. Tails: You Lose
Stocks and bonds are responding to new developments on the tariff front, with letters sent to trade partners announcing new tariff rates effective August 1st. Despite general tariff fatigue, the market was paying attention due to the formal nature of the announcements. While stocks were falling, bonds were holding steady, and vice versa.
Jul 8, 2025 4:02 AM — Bond Markets
Slow Start; Light Calendar This Week
After a rally reversal following last week's jobs report, the bond market is facing a data-free week with little movement from last Thursday's close. Thursday saw heavy selling, potentially ending the rally trend from late June. The most anticipated event on the horizon is next week's CPI data, which will likely determine the direction of trading levels and trends.
Jul 7, 2025 2:04 PM — Bond Markets
Correction Continues Despite Tariff Announcements
Bonds started the day weaker and continued to lose ground in the morning. After new tariff announcements caused selling in stocks, there was some initial buying in bonds, but not for long. Tariffs have proven to be a double-edged sword for bonds. Today's weakness added to a multi-day correction that began last Wednesday. Buyers may remain hesitant until more of the week's Treasury auction cycle ta... more
Jul 3, 2025 1:00 PM — Bond Markets
Big Market Reaction but Mortgages Outperform
The strong jobs report led to bond sellers pushing the yield curve higher, especially at the short end, but MBS didn't experience as much damage. The MBS market remained relatively stable despite uncertainties about Treasury auctions and the recent spending bill.
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