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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 193 - 216 of 242 results
Jun 10, 2025 8:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Bumpy Start; No Data; Waiting on Auction and Trade Headlines
Bonds are experiencing a small amount of volatility this morning, but it is not significant in the overall market. MBS have returned to unchanged levels after a brief moment of weakness at 10:15am ET. 10-year yields rose slightly but are still almost 1 basis point lower. The Treasury auction and trade-related headlines are expected to drive any bigger-picture momentum in the absence of relevant ec... more
Jun 9, 2025 1:51 PM
— Bond Markets
Gentle Rally Gently Reverses After Trade Headlines
Bond markets closed stronger, maintaining most of the gains from the morning. However, a slight increase in 10yr yields later in the day was attributed to positive comments on US/China trade talks. The market's reaction to trade-related headlines was evident. MBS increased by 3 ticks and 10yr yields decreased by 1.3bps.
Jun 9, 2025 6:51 AM
— Bond Markets
Shifting Gears After Friday's Volatility
The bond market is currently in a stable range due to recent economic data. 10yr yields are hovering between 4.4 and 4.56. With no major data releases expected, market movements will be influenced by fiscal/trade headlines.
Jun 7, 2025 9:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Perfectly Logical Reaction to On-Target Data
The bond market experienced a sell-off following a modest beat in the NFP report, despite negative revisions. Wednesday's rally was based on expectations for Friday's jobs report, which did not meet expectations. The NFP remains at decent levels and is not as concerning as recent weaker data would suggest.
Jun 7, 2025 3:02 AM
— Bond Markets
Jobs Report Not Bad Enough to Justify The Lead-Off
The bond market was initially expecting a lower number for the non-farm payroll report due to recent weaker economic data, but when the actual number came out at 139k, traders rushed to get back into a more neutral position. The unemployment rate remains relatively steady at 4.2% and the previous month's NFP revision does not indicate significant weakness.
Jun 5, 2025 2:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Dial Back Ahead of Big Jobs Report
Bonds had an interesting day with a hawkish European Central Bank announcement, news of a Trump/Xi phone call affecting trade relations, a Trump/Musk social media exchange impacting stocks, and market movements ahead of the jobs report. Overnight, MBS were slightly stronger but lost ground after the ECB announcement.
Jun 5, 2025 7:17 AM
— Bond Markets
Bumpy Start; Data Overshadowed by Other Events
Bonds initially rallied in the morning but quickly reversed gains, with the shift attributed to stock market volatility and the Trump/Xi call, as well as the ECB announcement. This led to Treasuries and MBS returning to roughly unchanged levels.
Jun 4, 2025 8:24 AM
— Bond Markets
JOLTS Data Didn't Help, But it Didn't Hurt Much Either
Bond market showed moderate strength overnight, weakened after Job Openings data was released but recovered in the afternoon. Headlines about the Senate taking up the budget bill did not have a significant impact on the bond market. Overall, bonds closed roughly unchanged. Next focus is on ISM Services data. 10yr yields ended slightly higher at 4.47, MBS slightly down, but there was a decent recov... more
Jun 4, 2025 8:23 AM
— Bond Markets
Weaker Econ Data. Lower Yields
The bond market had a simple morning as key economic reports came in weaker than expected. ADP employment numbers were significantly lower than forecasted, while ISM Services data showed weaker growth metrics but an increase in the employment index. The ISM price index also continues to rise, catching the attention of the bond market.
Jun 2, 2025 4:00 PM
— Bond Markets
New Month Selling Trumps ISM Data
The bond market experienced some excess strength due to month-end trading last week, resulting in the lowest yields of the day. However, the yields were still targeted by sellers leading to a modest correction at the beginning of a new month. Despite the correction, yields remained towards the lower end of the recent range.
Jun 2, 2025 8:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Softer Start Despite Tame ISM Manufacturing Data
The ISM Manufacturing PMI report has the potential to influence the bond market, with today's weaker result helping bonds avoid additional weakness. 10yr yields are slightly lower, hovering around 4.45%, as investors await more data.
May 31, 2025 3:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Strongest Close of the Week After Well-Contained Month-End Volatility
Today's economic data had little impact as it met expectations. Month-end trading environment likely influenced bond market, resulting in bonds reaching strongest levels of the week by a small margin.
May 29, 2025 1:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Lower After Today's Data
There was behind-the-scenes volatility in the bond market today, but it had a minimal impact on mortgage lenders. The bond market initially weakened due to news on tariffs, but reversed after the release of weak economic data. The weaker data was good for bonds and rates, leading to a modest drop in the average conventional 30yr fixed rate.
May 29, 2025 8:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Overnight Trading Makes No Guarantees
Overnight trading initially reacted to news of a U.S. trade court blocking Trump tariffs, but the markets quickly reversed course the following morning. Bond traders do not believe the court ruling will have a lasting impact on tariff policy. Economic data released in the morning also contributed to the reversal, with weaker claims and GDP numbers.
May 29, 2025 7:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Minimal Movement Amid Absence of Data
The bond market had a fairly uneventful session, with the 5yr Treasury auction resulting in little change. Traders sold off before the auction and bought back in afterwards. The Federal Reserve Minutes did not have much impact on market volatility. Economic data in the coming days may influence market movement, along with month-end trading potentially causing significant swings for unknown reasons... more
May 28, 2025 10:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Hesitation Ahead of Treasury Auction and Month-End
Bonds started the week positively but are now facing resistance, highlighting the need for a strong catalyst for sustained improvement. Possible factors include weak economic data, low inflation, or reduced Treasury issuance. Today, bonds are pausing ahead of a 5yr Treasury auction, with risk parity trading affecting both stocks and bonds.
May 27, 2025 3:01 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Finally Seeing Some Support
Japanese bonds, weak labor market data, and re-positioning after a holiday weekend contributed to bonds hitting their best 3pm close in 2 weeks. The heavy selling in May and recovery from high yields suggests a short-term ceiling until further notice. The upcoming week's data will provide more information on momentum shifts.
May 27, 2025 9:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Japan? Something Else? Does it Matter?
Last week's headlines raised concerns about volatility in the Japanese bond market affecting US yields, but today's correction in Japanese yields has led to strength in Treasuries. The movement in Treasuries is not significant compared to recent trends. Overall, the larger movements in Japanese government bonds have shown no correlation with Treasuries. The impact of Japan on US yields should be t... more
May 24, 2025 3:01 AM
— Bond Markets
A Little Early Excitement
Bonds initially reacted to Trump comments on raising EU tariffs, causing movements in the market. However, by the end of the day, stocks and bonds were moving back in the opposite direction, ending with modest gains. The day concluded with slightly weaker levels compared to the past 3 months.
May 22, 2025 2:02 PM
— Bond Markets
Slightly Stronger Because Not Every Day Can be Weaker
Bond yields have been trending higher in May but experienced gains due to sellers taking a break. The gains were not driven by data or fiscal news, but possibly due to position-squaring before a holiday weekend. 10yr bond yields were down slightly in MBS.
May 22, 2025 7:00 AM
— Bond Markets
Conspicuous Absence of Volatility After Data and Spending Bill Vote
The passage of the spending bill in the House led to only a modest extension of losses in stocks and bonds, as they had already been pricing it in throughout the week. Yields recovered into positive territory before the morning economic data release and have not changed much since then. Overall, there was surprisingly low volatility considering the news and lack of economic data for the week.
May 21, 2025 3:01 PM
— Bond Markets
Treasury Auction Blamed as Bond Vigilantes' Smoking Gun
The bond market experienced some volatility due to the 20-year auction, resulting in selling in both stocks and bonds. However, the auction was not as significant as the market reaction suggested.
May 21, 2025 8:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Nothing For Bonds to Trade But Fiscal Disillusionment
Despite a lack of relevant economic data and the impending holiday weekend affecting participation and increasing potential volatility, bonds are feeling disillusioned with the fiscal outlook as congress debates spending. Yields have been in a short-term range since the US/China tariff pause but are now being pushed towards the top of that range due to fiscal disillusionment.
May 20, 2025 3:00 PM
— Bond Markets
Ultimately Sort of Flat if You Use Your Imagination
Bonds were relatively flat today with 10yr yields up slightly. There was modest volatility in the morning due to budget headlines, but overall, the market is waiting for more significant news to impact bond yields.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 600 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.