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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 1 - 24 of 242 results
Dec 11, 2025 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Two-Way Trading But Not Much Day-Over-Day Movement
Bonds started the day strong but weakened after the NYSE open, ending the day relatively unchanged. The day did not witness any significant events, with December 16th expected to be the only other notable trading day of the year. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and 10-year yields fluctuated throughout the day.
Dec 11, 2025 8:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Follow-Through Rally. What's Up With Big Swings in Jobless Claims?
Bonds are experiencing moderate gains following jobless claims data, but the late Thanksgiving holiday has caused issues with seasonal adjustments. Last week's initial claims were distorted due to Thanksgiving, resulting in a big jump this week. Continued claims are also impacted, with non-adjusted claims at the highest levels in years.
Dec 10, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
What to Watch in Today's Dot Plot
Bonds were initially weaker but have regained strength after morning economic indicators. The focus is on the Fed's announcement, with the expectation of a rate cut. Concerns arise from a possible pause in rate cuts due to more hawkish sentiments, leading to bond market weakness.
Dec 10, 2025 2:30 AM
— Bond Markets
There's no guarantee the Fed's rate cuts will lower the rates that matter
Bond yields are rising as the Fed cuts rates, which is a puzzling inconsistency. Factors such as shifts in trade policy and the prospects of an ever-widening national debt are keeping yields from dropping further. Higher yields set the cost of borrowing, impacting mortgage rates and economic activity.
Dec 9, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Wednesday is All About Dot Plot and Powell
Bonds lost ground due to JOLTS data, with focus shifting to the upcoming Fed meeting. Fed Funds Futures indicate a high probability of a rate cut announcement, but attention is on the release of the dot plot and Powell's press conference. Rates have been bearish recently, indicating uncertainty in the market.
Dec 9, 2025 9:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Job Openings Data Causing Weakness in Bonds
Despite a fairly straightforward session in the bond market on Tuesday, there was a sell-off due to higher job openings data. However, the 'quits' rate falling to its lowest levels helped to cushion the impact on rates.
Dec 8, 2025 2:31 PM
— Bond Markets
Pre Fed Jitters? Not Exactly
Both stocks and bonds experienced a sell-off right after the NYSE open, which may be related to concerns about the Fed's rate cut outlook. However, Fed Funds Futures do not support this narrative. The explanation for the volatility in the market is attributed to the period between Thanksgiving and New Year's.
Dec 8, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Yields Testing Range Ceiling Ahead of Auctions, Data, And The Fed
Bonds are facing pressure at the start of the week following the worst week of selling since late October. The market may be bracing for another negative impact from the Fed, making room for Treasury auctions during a less liquid time of year, and preparing for an important JOLTS release on Tuesday morning. 10yr yields are reaching the upper boundary of the medium term range.
Dec 6, 2025 4:32 AM
— Bond Markets
Technicals Help Reconcile Selling Pressure
The article discusses the consolidation pattern in bond yields as a way to explain selling pressure in the market. Despite some weakness, there were signs of recovery, with MBS down slightly and 10yr yields up slightly.
Dec 6, 2025 4:32 AM
— Bond Markets
Inconsequential Data and Modest Movement
The bond market this week showed trading momentum independent of economic data. The past 5 days indicated a return to the prevailing range, setting the stage for a potential break after upcoming major events like the Fed day and jobs report.
Dec 4, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Bond Momentum Continues Ignoring Data
Bonds made a moderate move on a day with important economic reports, but the move was already in place before the data came out. There was not much of a response afterward and bonds drifted slightly weaker throughout the day while staying within the pre-Thanksgiving range.
Dec 4, 2025 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Lowest Initial Jobless Claims Reading Since 2022
Jobless Claims fell to 191k, the lowest since 2022 and one of the lowest since the 1960s, indicating a strong labor market. However, the Revelio payroll count of -9k came out shortly after, creating some uncertainty. Despite this, there was minimal impact on bond yields.
Dec 3, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Weaker Data Endorses the In-Progress Rally
The article discusses the fluctuations in bond markets throughout the day in response to economic data, ultimately showing moderate gains by the end of the day. The focus is on bond performance and potential upcoming data releases.
Dec 3, 2025 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Stronger Start, Mostly Before ADP Data
Despite the ADP employment report coming in lower than expected, there was only a slight rally in 10yr yields with minimal volume and volatility. Yields returned to pre-report levels by 8:30am. The next big report is ISM Services at 10am ET.
Dec 2, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Steady Gains Throughout The Day
Bonds started the day weaker but MBS quickly rebounded to unchanged levels. The gains were slow and steady with no clear catalysts. 10yr Treasuries also improved in the afternoon. There are upcoming economic reports that could impact the bond market.
Dec 2, 2025 7:31 AM
— Bond Markets
MBS Outperforming Longer-Term Treasuries
Shorter-term Treasuries are performing better than longer-term Treasuries in the early days of the trading month, likely due to positioning ahead of next week's Fed announcement. This trend is positive for Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) as their implied duration is closer to 5 years than 10 years. As a result, MBS and 5 year Treasuries are slightly stronger while 10 year Treasuries are slightly ... more
Dec 1, 2025 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Complete Silence After AM Volatility
Bonds were mostly flat overnight before experiencing a sharp sell-off in the morning, which was attributed to Japan's central bank news or a return to reality after the holiday. Yields are back in the pre-Thanksgiving range and are expected to react to upcoming economic reports. Mortgage-backed securities and 10-year Treasury yields have been steadily increasing throughout the day.
Dec 1, 2025 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Breaking Down Early Weakness. Is It Japan?
Bonds are weaker at the start of the week due to Thanksgiving week volatility and the Bank of Japan considering rate hikes at the next meeting. However, it is unclear if Japan is the main source of weakness as there were no clear correlations with other markets. Some traders believe the Japanese influence was a domino effect in other bond markets.
Nov 30, 2025 11:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Japan’s Two-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2008 on Rate-Hike Bets
Japanese government bonds slumped after comments from the Bank of Japan chief indicated a possible rate hike in December. The two-year yield rose to its highest level since 2008, with yields on other maturities also surging. The yen strengthened against the dollar, swaps market traders increased bets for a rate hike, and the Ministry of Finance plans to increase debt issuance to finance an economi... more
Nov 28, 2025 9:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Open But Not Really Open
The Friday after Thanksgiving is typically uneventful in terms of trading activity. There is not much happening in the market, with minimal movement in MBS and 10yr. No significant events or data are affecting the current situation.
Nov 26, 2025 12:31 PM
— Bond Markets
Holiday Week Volatility With Zero Consequence
Today's trading in the bond market was mostly influenced by holiday-week volatility rather than economic data. Despite some swings earlier in the day, by the 3pm close, bonds were close to unchanged levels. The impact of economic data was minimal, and the day overall was considered forgettable in the bigger picture. Trading is not expected to get serious until December.
Nov 26, 2025 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Stronger Data. Weaker Start For Bonds
Bonds were weaker overnight and continued to lose ground in early trading due to positive Jobless Claims and Durable Goods reports. The sell-off in bonds was minimal but noticeable.
Nov 25, 2025 3:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Best Closing Levels in Nearly a Month
Bonds improved moderately on Tuesday due to random holiday-week volatility. Factors cited for the improvement include a decline in weekly ADP payrolls and rumors that Kevin Hassett is the front-runner to be the next Fed Chair. Yields closed at 4.0%, the best marks since October 29th.
Nov 25, 2025 5:29 AM
— Bond Markets
10yr Flirting With 4.0%, But Not Because of Data
Despite several economic reports showing weakness, there was little reaction in the bond market, likely due to Thanksgiving week trading vibes. MBS started the day slightly up and 10yr yields were down slightly. More reports and a Treasury auction are expected later in the day.
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The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 600 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.