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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 1 - 24 of 188 results
Oct 24, 2025 1:23 PM — Bond Markets
Decent Recovery After AM Backtracking
After mixed CPI data fueled a quick rally in bonds, the market returned to negative territory following the digestion of details and stronger S&P PMI data. Bonds initially showed strength but turned red after PMI data, eventually crawling back into positive territory by the end of the day.
Oct 23, 2025 3:24 PM — Bond Markets
CPI Just as Risky as Usual--Perhaps More So
Bonds sold off due to position-squaring ahead of CPI, with an uptick in oil prices also noted. Friday morning's CPI report is receiving increased attention during the shutdown. Overnight, slow and steady selling continued with both MBS and 10yr Treasury yields slightly higher.
Oct 23, 2025 9:00 AM — Bond Markets
Mortgage rates fall to lowest level of 2025
CNN
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool used by investors to gauge the overall sentiment of the market. It measures emotions such as fear and greed to determine whether the market is overbought or oversold.
Oct 22, 2025 2:24 PM — Bond Markets
20yr Treasury Auction to The Rescue
The bond market seemed like it might retrace some gains, but the 20yr bond auction results erased that notion. The auction was successful with bids totaling 2.73 times the amount and the yield lower than expected, causing bonds to move back into positive territory.
Oct 22, 2025 8:24 AM — Bond Markets
Modest Early Weakness. Was it About Time?
MBS opened slightly weaker on October 17th and ended the day down about an eighth of a point, marking the last time they had a weaker start. The previous session closed at the best levels in at least a month. Yesterday's 5.0 MBS prices matched their best close in over a year, leading to a small pull-back after a consistent rally. There are parallels to today's market conditions, with a potential f... more
Oct 21, 2025 3:26 PM — Bond Markets
Slow, Steady Gains Continue
Bond traders are speculating about economically challenging situations due to the absence of major economic data. Factors such as the Philly Fed services index, oil prices, forex, and previous banking concerns may also be influencing the market. Despite light trading volume, yields are at their lowest levels in over a year with moderate gains in the morning.
Oct 21, 2025 8:56 AM — Bond Markets
Crude Notions About Underlying Bid
The bond market is currently quiet, with the jobs report being a key factor in potential changes. Concerns such as regional bank losses and the level of reserves on the Fed balance sheet are helping buyers. Oil, while not a primary indicator for bonds, can impact inflation and potentially lead to increased bond buying.
Oct 20, 2025 2:24 PM — Bond Markets
Strange Combo of Excitement and Boredom
It was a relatively uneventful day in the bond market with no significant data or news. Bonds gained some ground early but remained mostly sideways throughout the day, similar to other days during the government shutdown. However, bond yields closed at their second-best levels in over a year, indicating a positive outlook for rate cuts.
Oct 20, 2025 8:01 AM — Bond Markets
Better Buying at 8:20am Open; No Data
The bond market is currently being influenced by the government shutdown, preventing the most relevant economic data from making an impact. However, trading has been slightly bullish due to non-government data and trade tension concerns. The Conference Board's leading indicator index is not being published today due to the shutdown, despite not being a government agency.
Oct 16, 2025 7:24 AM — Bond Markets
Fairly Flat At Strongest Levels in Weeks
10yr yields ended the day slightly higher than the previous day but still at the best levels since September 17. MBS also slightly increased and reached 4 week highs. The mid-day bump in Treasury yields was not triggered by any obvious reasons, with speculation focusing on liquidity conditions and funding market stress. Overall, the movement was too small to warrant further investigation.
Oct 16, 2025 6:26 AM — Bond Markets
Everything Winning on Combo of Trade Tensions, Fed Speak, and Earnings
Stocks have rebounded this week after a sell-off sparked by Trump's tariff comments. Bonds initially benefited from the sell-off but have continued to rally due to expectations of a Fed rate cut and comments from Powell supporting another cut in October. Yields are nearing the lower end of the range boundary.
Oct 15, 2025 6:26 AM — Bond Markets
Yields Hug Multi-Week Lows After Powell Speech
Bonds remained resilient over the weekend despite a rebound in the stock market following trade war escalation with China. There was a modest sell-off in the morning, followed by a recovery after Powell's speech. The MBS ended slightly stronger at the close.
Oct 14, 2025 7:23 AM — Bond Markets
One Of The Few Times We Can Say Strong Red Start
Despite bonds showing some weakness on the screen, they are still considered to have had a stronger start compared to Friday afternoon. 10-year yields and MBS prices have improved this morning compared to last Friday's levels.
Oct 10, 2025 3:23 PM — Bond Markets
Markets Rocked by New Tariff Drama
Bonds had a decent day due to mid-day stock market drama caused by an unexpected tariff threat from Trump towards China. Despite the uncertainty of how this will play out on Tuesday, bonds managed to rally and reach their best levels of the day after the tariffs were officially announced at the close of trading.
Oct 10, 2025 6:23 AM — Bond Markets
Overnight Gains on Fed Comments And Japanese Politics (Really)
Japanese political developments, specifically Takaichi winning control of Japan's LDP party and fears of Japan's central bank selling Treasuries led to Treasury yields rising. However, another party exiting the coalition with the LDP lowered these fears and caused bonds to rally. Comments from Fed's Waller about weak employment and lack of concern about inflation further added to bond gains.
Oct 9, 2025 2:26 PM — Bond Markets
Uneventful Day; MBS Underperform
MBS underperformed compared to Treasury benchmarks after a round of weekly Treasury auctions, with MBS losing about a quarter point. Bonds are slightly closer to the weaker end of the recent range but still within it. The weaker bond auction led to a slightly weaker response in MBS and 10yr yields.
Oct 9, 2025 6:25 AM — Bond Markets
In-Range Weakness For No Particular Reason
Due to the shutdown, there are no Jobless Claims data available, making bonds wait for other events. The day's most significant event is the 1pm 30yr bond auction. Some selling is happening, but overall the yield remains in the range of 4.08 to 4.20.
Oct 7, 2025 2:25 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Turn Green After Econ Data and Treasury Auction
Bonds started the day weaker but strengthened after a slight deterioration in attitudes about the labor market and a well-received 3yr Treasury auction. Gains continued throughout the day but were temporary after the auction.
Oct 7, 2025 7:26 AM — Bond Markets
Incidental Weakness But No Big Picture Change
The bond market was more vulnerable to outside influences due to lighter volume, leading to unfavorable impacts from political developments in Japan. Selling was moderate, and a recovery early on was followed by a gradual weakening, reaching the lowest levels of the day.
Oct 6, 2025 11:29 AM — Bond Markets
Overnight Losses Thanks to Overseas Markets
Despite a quiet economic calendar, overnight selling in bonds has led to increased volatility. Political developments in Japan and the EU have pushed yields higher in both sessions.
Oct 4, 2025 11:30 AM — Bond Markets
Weaker Day, Stronger Week
The bond market experienced some weakness on Friday, primarily due to the ISM Services data showing resilience in the employment index and persistence in the price index. Despite this, the damage was minimal overall and did not significantly impact the week's strength.
Sep 30, 2025 8:24 AM — Bond Markets
Stronger Start on Downbeat Data
There is no new information on the potential government shutdown, but betting markets indicate increased odds. The impact of the shutdown on bond markets is related to the availability of economic data, with a potential lack of a jobs report. Other reports, such as Chicago PMI and Consumer Confidence data, are still capable of influencing the market.
Sep 29, 2025 3:24 PM — Bond Markets
Waiting on Details as Bonds Reinforce The Range
The bond market had a forgettable trading day with only notable volume and volatility at the NYSE open. Yields were flat but slightly stronger starting at 4am ET. The main focus was on a meeting between Trump and congressional leaders on the government shutdown, but there was no market reaction. Overall, MBS were up 3 ticks and the 10-year yield was down.
Sep 26, 2025 7:29 AM — Bond Markets
Minimal Reaction to PCE Data
The PCE inflation report is important for assessing progress toward the Fed's 2% target, but it lags behind other reports like CPI/PPI, making it less relevant to the bond market. Core PCE was on target with minor differences in the supercore PCE, which excludes housing.
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