Mortgage News
The Most Comprehensive Source of Mortgage-Related News
Each article is summarized for your convenience. Click on the title to see the original.
News for: Bond Markets
Showing 1 - 24 of 282 results
Jan 27, 2026 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Gap Filled. Time to Sell?
The article discusses the technical analysis in the bond market, specifically focusing on the gap created between yields on 2 consecutive days at the time of the breakout. The recent altitude achieved above the 4.20% technical ceiling in 10yr yields is considered the 'gap' in this case, with Monday's yields filling it down to 4.203. Traders often see this as a cleansing of positional imbalances th... more
Jan 22, 2026 2:36 PM
— Bond Markets
No Reaction to Early Data, But Slightly Weaker Overnight
After Trump announced a potential deal on Greenland, bond and stock markets reacted positively as it signaled a pause in new tariffs and changes in foreign demand for Treasuries. The early economic data did not have much impact, and the focus now is on the upcoming PCE inflation data. Yields have been slowly rising along with European markets, but Treasuries still have most of their gains from the... more
Jan 21, 2026 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Recovering a Bit After Framework of a Deal on Greenland
Geopolitical events such as tariff brinksmanship, trade deals, foreign wealth fund participation, and a potential deal regarding Greenland have been impacting financial markets. The announcement of a pause on new tariffs has led to stocks and bonds trading cautiously as a win for now but not back to previous levels. Bond markets are choppy and sideways, with MBS up slightly and 10yr yields slightl... more
Jan 20, 2026 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Range Breakout Intensifies. Chicken or Egg?
The bond market has experienced a confirmed breakout with 10yr yields surging almost 10bps above the range ceiling in just 2 days. Technical analysts are excited about the breakout, while fundamental traders are more cautious. A Danish pension fund pulling out of US Treasuries caused a significant volume spike and sharp selling. Bonds are bracing for fallout with Europe over Greenland leading to o... more
Jan 17, 2026 4:31 AM
— Bond Markets
Slow Start, Quiet Calendar
The bond market experienced unexpected volatility last week, reminding investors that anything can happen. Currently, bonds are moderately weaker with 10yr yields trending towards the upper boundary of the trading range. Mortgage-backed securities are outperforming slightly, likely due to a combination of actual and expected GSE purchases. The event calendar is light, with only two reports expecte... more
Jan 17, 2026 4:31 AM
— Bond Markets
10yr Yields Finally Break The Range
Despite an absence of market movers, bonds experienced a significant breakout, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level in 4 months. There was some mid-day weakness influenced by comments from Trump, but overall losses were gradual and not tied to a specific event. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) outperformed due to anticipated GSE MBS purchases, but still ended the week at their lows.
Jan 15, 2026 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Data-Driven Weakness
The bond market had a straightforward day with trading remaining flat overnight and then weakening after the 8:30am Jobless Claims data was released. The impact of the report led to a decrease in the probability of a rate cut in March. Longer-term rates are still range-bound and MBS are at the top of their range due to GSE purchases.
Jan 15, 2026 9:01 AM
— Bond Markets
Mortgage rates fall to lowest level in more than three years
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool that measures the level of fear or greed in the market based on a variety of factors. It can help investors gauge market sentiment and make decisions accordingly.
Jan 15, 2026 5:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Stronger Jobless Claims Leads to Early Selling
The weekly jobless claims data has a moderate impact on the bond market, especially when results differ significantly from forecasts. Today's 198k print is slightly weakening bonds as it falls below the 200k level. A stronger Philly Fed index did not offset this impact.
Jan 13, 2026 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
CPI Helped Bonds Avoid Losing Ground
Bonds initially weakened but strengthened after the CPI data, which showed core monthly CPI at 0.2. MBS remained positive throughout the day despite appearing weaker on charts due to monthly settlement. Wednesday will bring November's retail sales data and Producer Price Index, which could impact the market.
Jan 13, 2026 1:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Incidental Weakness Ahead of CPI Data
Bonds were marginally weaker with no obvious reasons attributed. The market remained stable despite Fed Chair Powell's criminal inquiry. Tomorrow's focus will be on the CPI data to be released at 8:30am ET.
Jan 13, 2026 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Bond Market Only Marginally Interested in Powell Drama For Now
Bond yields were slightly higher after the subpoena of Fed Chair Powell over statements made to congress regarding the Fed's building renovations. Forex markets saw the dollar lose ground against the Euro, but Treasury futures weren't well-correlated with that movement. Overall, the bond market continues to operate within the same range.
Jan 9, 2026 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Wild Ride For MBS as Traders Digest New Developments
The article discusses the impact of Trump's $200 billion MBS buying announcement on Treasuries and MBS. Initially, Treasuries lost ground after the jobs report while MBS experienced a significant rally. However, there was a period of distribution before prices bounced back. Higher coupons did not receive much attention due to assumptions about the new buying trends. Overall, there was massive MBS ... more
Jan 8, 2026 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Mostly Quiet Ahead of Friday's Jobs Report
Bonds lost ground on Thursday, mainly due to European bond market weakness and a stronger weekly jobless claims report. However, the market is more interested in the upcoming big jobs report for a cleaner reading since the government shutdown.
Jan 8, 2026 1:49 PM
— Bond Markets
Trump orders ‘my representatives’ to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds to lower rates
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool used to gauge market sentiment and investor emotions. It takes into account factors such as stock price momentum, market breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, and safe haven demand. The index ranges from 0 to 100, with extreme fear at 0 and extreme greed at 100.
Jan 8, 2026 6:31 AM
— Bond Markets
No Help From Jobless Claims or Europe
US bonds have been following Europe's lead in overnight trading, resulting in a 3bp sell-off on both continents. The Jobless Claims data at 8:30am has contributed to the selling pressure but only slightly.
Jan 7, 2026 2:30 PM
— Bond Markets
Ultimately Underwhelming Despite Seemingly Significant Data
Despite the potential for volatility due to various economic data releases, yields hit their lowest levels in a week after ADP data came in slightly softer. However, stronger ISM and job openings data pushed bonds back up, resulting in only minimal changes by the end of the day.
Jan 7, 2026 6:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Stronger Start Thanks to Europe and ADP
Bonds rallied overnight, with gains aligning with a bond rally in Europe. 10yr yields dropped 2bps from yesterday's close and another 2bps improvement followed the morning's ADP employment data. ADP job count was slightly below forecasts, but the previous month wasn't revised much higher. Job Openings and ISM Non-Manufacturing data are expected to have a bigger impact if results are not in line wi... more
Jan 6, 2026 6:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Volume is Back. Still Waiting on Volatility
The bond market has been range trading between 4.10-4.20% in terms of 10yr yields since December 10th. Despite a return in trading volume post-holidays, market watchers are waiting for a breakout. Wednesday and Friday's economic data are seen as potential catalysts.
Jan 5, 2026 2:33 PM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Improve Back to Pre-Holiday Levels
The bond market did not have a significant reaction to the recent ISM Manufacturing data, but trading volume returned to pre-holiday levels. The 10-year yields closed at 4.15%, the same level as on December 11th. The market is now focusing on upcoming economic data for potential signals.
Jan 5, 2026 7:30 AM
— Bond Markets
Bonds Are Back in The Office
Trading volume is increasing as the market shifts out of holiday mode, with bonds holding within a range up until now. The possibility of a breakout on either side of the range is stronger this week due to increased participation and the upcoming jobs report. Other relevant reports this week include JOLTS/ISM combo on Wednesday. ISM Manufacturing was slightly weaker today but hasn't had a big impa... more
Jan 3, 2026 4:32 AM
— Bond Markets
Monitoring For Misbehavior
Friday is a day to be watched for any unusual movements, but the economic calendar is sparse with only the S&P manufacturing PMI report. Bonds are relatively stable, and significant trading signals are not expected until next week. Even if there are unexpected movements today, it would not be as concerning as if they were to continue into next week.
Jan 1, 2026 4:31 AM
— Bond Markets
Token Year-End Volatility
Wednesday's session saw some data-driven selling in the morning in response to jobless claims data. Bonds initially moved back towards unchanged levels by 1pm, but then experienced increased volatility due to year-end position closing by large traders, leading to a spike in volume and potential price/yield fluctuations. Despite the jolts in the market, it was considered a normal year-end phenomeno... more
Dec 31, 2025 5:32 PM
— Bond Markets
Thursday: Happy New Year!
On New Year's Day, the NYSE and the NASDAQ will be closed. Mortgage rates are currently not mentioned in the article.
DISCLAIMER: mortgage-rates.ai is an independent information platform created to promote greater transparency in the mortgage market for the benefit of borrowers. mortgage-rates.ai is not a lender, mortgage broker, or financial advisor, and is not registered with the Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System (NMLS). Nothing contained on this website shall be construed as an offer to lend, solicit, or extend credit of any kind.
The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 600 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.
The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 600 lenders. Mortgage-Rates.ai does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@mortgage-rates.ai
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.